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3 posts tagged with "Geopolitics"

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Vae Victis. Part 1: Pax Silica

· 17 min read
Ruben van der Linde
CTO, Conduction

On August 14, 2026, a US official gave Reuters four words that make Brussels' whole strategy this year sound naive: you can't have it both ways. The draft letter behind that quote goes further: "To be part of everything is to be part of nothing." It is addressed, among roughly three dozen partners, to the European Union.

Vae Victis. Part 2: Bread and Butter

· 11 min read
Ruben van der Linde
CTO, Conduction

In 1618, roughly two hundred and seventy thousand tons of rye and wheat sailed down the Vistula to Gdańsk, and from there mostly on Dutch and Flemish ships to Amsterdam. Poland fed the fastest-growing cities in Europe for the better part of two centuries. Historians still call it Spichlerz Europy, the granary of Europe. Nobody remembers that this is also the story of the country three empires later agreed did not need to exist.

Vae Victis. Part 3: Alea Iacta Est

· 14 min read
Ruben van der Linde
CTO, Conduction

Money left the gold standard in 1971 and never went back, and if you have heard someone use that fact to explain why a JPEG sold for six figures and is now worth nothing, they skipped a step. Fiat currency is not backed by faith. It is backed by law: your government will accept nothing else for your taxes, your courts enforce debts denominated in it, and a central bank can raise a rate to defend it. That is enforceable, not sentimental. The JPEG had none of that. Neither did most of what has evaporated since. The mechanism that failed was never the one holding up your salary.